‘We See What Others Can’t See’ – Mussa Dankwah Rebukes Party Analysts After NPP Primary Misreads

Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, Mussa Dankwah, has issued a sharp caution to political commentators and self-proclaimed party researchers, accusing them of misinterpreting polling data following the outcome of the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) 2026 presidential primary.

His comment follows a widely circulated prediction by researcher Dr. Evans Duah, who boldly projected ahead of the elections that none of the five candidates would cross the 50-plus-one threshold—except former Assin Central MP, Kennedy Ohene Agyapong.

Speaking on Channel One TV’s The Point of View on January 28, Dr. Duah asserted:

“None of the five candidates will cross that 50+1 on Saturday. And if anyone does, it will be Hon. Kennedy Ohene Agyapong. I stand by this, and it is based on data.”

However, the results told a different story.

When votes were tallied on January 31, former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia clinched a decisive victory, securing 56.48 percent of valid votes. Kennedy Agyapong came a distant second with 23.76 percent, falling far short of the forecast.

Reacting in a Facebook post on February 1, Mussa Dankwah offered a detailed postmortem of the polls, stressing that Bawumia’s performance mirrored Global InfoAnalytics’ projections almost exactly—missing by only 0.5 percent, which he noted lies well within the margin of error.

Kennedy Agyapong, he pointed out, underperformed by 4.5 percent, placing him outside their expected range.

Dankwah attributed part of this outcome to missteps in Agyapong’s final campaign stretch, referencing a controversial, insult-laden video that he says turned undecided delegates away.

“Such actions gave undecided delegates an opportunity to rethink their choices, and Dr Bawumia ultimately benefited from that gaffe,” he noted.

Dankwah also highlighted the unexpected surge of Abetifi MP Dr. Bryan Acheampong, who exceeded poll expectations by 5.5 percent, driven mostly by undecided voters and those who had previously concealed their preferences.

He referenced Global InfoAnalytics’ weekly tracking numbers to illustrate this momentum:

• Bryan Acheampong’s favourability rose by 5.4 points in the last four weeks,

• Dr. Bawumia gained 2.1,

• Kennedy Agyapong gained just 0.1.

Using the analysis as a teaching moment, Dankwah drew a sharp line between pollsters and political researchers.

“There is a difference between pollsters and researchers,” he stressed. “Pollsters provide the lead and researchers go in to probe why. Pollsters can only triangulate.”

He cautioned self-styled analysts and party communicators:

“Small advice to wannabe party researchers—don’t turn polls into in-depth research. The objectives are not the same. Not everyone has the eyes to see what pollsters can see.”